Figures in from the number-crunching necromancers over at IDC warn of worrying times ahead for Microsoft. Foreseeing the end of Gatesy’s gang’s dominance in the market, the industry analysts claim that Windows devices will be eclipsed by the Android OS variety as soon as 2016.
While the report tells us that more than 90% of PCs in the world still run Windows, IDC reckon that Microsoft’s leading market share of 35.9% will slip to 25.1% within the next four years, whereas Google’s Android will climb from 29.4% to 31.1%.
Even with Windows 8 due/overdue/never materialising later this year, the statistical soothsayers of IDC still predict a “dramatic shift” between 2011 and 2016, with Windows paying the price and Android and Apple reaping the rewards.
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The report states that 2012 unit shipments for smart connected devices should top 1.1 billion worldwide, but by 2016, IDC predicts that those shipments will jump to a colossal 1.84 billion units.
“Smart, connected, computer-capable phones and tablets are playing an increasingly important role in nearly every individual’s life,” said Bob O’Donnell, vice president of clients and displays at IDC, encouragingly, if perhaps stating the obvious a little.
But while this is ostensibly good news for Android addicts, Bob’s buddy, Tom Mainelli, IDC’s research director of mobile connected devices, was a little bit more negative: “Android’s growth is tied directly to the propagation of lower-priced devices. So, while we expect dozens of hardware vendors to own some share in the Android market, many will find profitability difficult to sustain.”
Whether IDC’s prophecy will come to pass as predicted or not remains to be seen, but you can guarantee that the head honchos at One Microsoft Way will be taking it very seriously indeed.